In 2019, over 4 million Americans will terminate contracts with insurers within the framework of Obamaker. By 2027, more than 13 million people will leave the program. Such a disappointing outlook is given by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
As it turned out, millions of Americans continue to register in the Obamaker base and regularly pay for insurance with one sole purpose: not to pay a penalty for refusing insurers. The last time Obamacare Penalty will be paid by uninsured people will be in the tax season of 2019, but already on the first day of the new year, Obamaker owners may refuse insurance. In this case, they will not have to pay a fine in the period of sending tax returns in 2020 (that is, at the end of 2019).
Barack Obama, we recall, deliberately imposed fines for refusal from compulsory insurance, because he understood that medical reform was extremely unprofitable for the majority of US citizens. If the fines did not exist initially, the number registered in Obamaker would be reduced tenfold. As a result, a monetary penalty obliged people to grit their teeth, but to pay for the cheapest “bronze” insurance.
The disappearance of Obamacare Penalty will lead to a sharp rise in price for all insurance, without exception, and create a huge budget deficit.
Yesterday’s obamakerschiki continue to issue Medicaid or require insurance from the employer. Insurance companies will start trading Obamaker from the exchange, and by about 2022 the system created by Obama will have to self-destruct.
Problems, however, will remain. The Trump team failed all reforms to modernize and abolish Obamaker. This means a virtually infinite expansion of Medicaid at the federal and state levels, which will lead to even higher health care costs. Stay Trump for a second term, by the end of his presidential term, the number of Medicaid recipients may grow by 12% -15% compared to any average Obama’s year of government.
Interestingly, the topic of health care will become secondary in the upcoming presidential debate. Neither “donkeys” nor “elephants” want to focus attention on it, since a complex system of medical insurance may not survive the next reform.